Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben McLemore * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 34 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ray McCallum * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| David Stockton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 30 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 30 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 29 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Will Barton * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Erick Green * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ian Clark | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamaal Franklin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter