Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Patterson * | 37 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-8 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 29 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| James Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 38 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-16 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 30 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 9-20 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| James Ennis III * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 11 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Zoran Dragic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter