Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -1 (143-144). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 31 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 29 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 18 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Bernard James * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 52 | 8-21 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 48 | 9-22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 47 | 6-18 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 45 | 15-23 | 7-12 | 10-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 37 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erick Green * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Will Barton | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter