Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -1 (103-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 39 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 25 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Danny Green * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 11 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Ayres * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 42 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| James Harden * | 37 | 5-19 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 12-26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Johnson * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joey Dorsey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter