Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +12 (110-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 34 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Joey Dorsey | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Nick Johnson | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| KJ McDaniels | 6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Clint Capela | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kostas Papanikolaou | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 34 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 27 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Danny Green * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 18 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Patty Mills | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter