Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +15 (101-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Caron Butler | 23 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 14 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| O.J. Mayo | 28 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 23 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| John Henson | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Johnny O'Bryant III | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kenyon Martin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter