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2014-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% - ✗
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 ✗ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.6% 39.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% - ✗

Actual: New York Knicks +3 (95-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Hansbrough * 28 4-8 0-0 3-5 9 0 2 0 1 11 13 -
Kyle Lowry * 26 8-15 3-8 3-5 3 5 1 0 4 22 12 -
Nando De Colo * 25 5-12 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 12 5 -
Dwight Buycks * 22 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 2 -4 -
DeMar DeRozan * 21 2-5 0-0 5-6 5 1 1 0 3 9 8 -
Greivis Vasquez * 21 5-9 3-6 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 13 11 -
Terrence Ross * 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Patrick Patterson * 20 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 7 9 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 15 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 8 9 -
Amir Johnson * 14 1-3 0-1 0-2 4 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
Chuck Hayes 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Steve Novak 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Aldrich * 39 5-8 0-0 3-4 16 1 2 5 1 13 28 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 35 6-15 3-5 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 18 6 -
Iman Shumpert * 30 1-10 1-5 0-2 4 2 2 1 0 3 2 -
Toure' Murry * 28 6-12 2-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 15 4 -
JR Smith * 27 13-19 2-5 2-4 4 1 5 0 2 30 19 -
Jeremy Tyler * 24 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
Shannon Brown * 21 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 0 -4 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 19 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
Pablo Prigioni * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 2 4 -

* = starter