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2014-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Miami Heat Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.1% 65.9% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -

Actual: Miami Heat -13 (87-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Carter-Williams * 34 3-10 3-5 3-4 6 4 0 1 3 12 10 -
Thaddeus Young * 30 9-17 0-3 2-2 9 2 2 0 3 20 13 -
Henry Sims * 30 4-7 0-0 2-2 7 3 2 0 2 10 13 -
Hollis Thompson * 27 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 3 2 1 1 3 7 -
Tony Wroten * 22 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 6 5 0 6 4 4 -
Brandon Davies * 19 4-6 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 11 7 -
James Anderson * 18 3-5 2-2 2-2 3 2 2 1 0 10 13 -
Jarvis Varnado * 15 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 8 8 -
Casper Ware * 13 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Adonis Thomas * 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Elliot Williams 22 4-7 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 9 4 -

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shane Battier * 39 3-6 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 9 3 -
James Jones * 33 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
Toney Douglas * 29 4-14 1-6 4-4 2 4 2 0 2 13 5 -
Norris Cole * 27 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 3 3 0 3 5 5 -
Ray Allen * 24 4-9 1-5 2-4 3 3 0 0 1 11 7 -
Dwyane Wade * 23 6-14 0-2 4-6 2 4 0 0 3 16 5 -
Udonis Haslem * 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 2 7 11 -
Michael Beasley * 14 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 2 1 8 7 -
Greg Oden * 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Justin Hamilton 18 2-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 7 4 -

* = starter