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2014-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (20.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -13 (100-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Kelly * 36 6-11 0-3 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 12 10 -
Wesley Johnson * 34 5-17 1-7 0-0 11 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
Jodie Meeks * 30 5-6 2-2 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 14 15 -
Nick Young * 29 6-12 2-5 2-3 6 2 1 0 0 16 13 -
Kendall Marshall * 27 5-7 4-4 1-2 2 11 0 0 4 15 17 -
Jordan Hill * 27 7-13 0-0 4-6 14 2 1 2 0 18 24 -
Robert Sacre * 23 4-10 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 10 4 -
Jordan Farmar * 20 4-11 2-5 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 10 5 -
MarShon Brooks 8 3-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 3 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tiago Splitter * 26 6-13 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 12 8 -
Kawhi Leonard * 23 6-10 2-5 0-0 5 4 0 2 0 14 15 -
Manu Ginobili * 22 4-9 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 10 6 -
Cory Joseph * 21 5-11 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 12 5 -
Jeff Ayres * 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 2 6 -
Danny Green * 19 3-13 2-10 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 8 2 -
Boris Diaw * 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 2 -
Matt Bonner * 16 2-5 2-3 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 6 10 -
Tony Parker * 15 5-10 0-1 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 12 9 -
Patty Mills * 14 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 2 -
Aron Baynes * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Austin Daye * 14 4-6 1-2 4-6 2 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
Damion James * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter