Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +1 (106-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 45 | 12-22 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 41 | 8-21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeJuan Blair | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 46 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 46 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 41 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nick Calathes * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter