Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (104-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Belinelli * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Damion James * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 21 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Austin Daye | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 39 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| James Harden * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter