Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 40 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 40 | 11-15 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 34 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 43 | 15-23 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 37 | 20 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 21 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Shane Larkin * | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter