Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +13 (98-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 4-8 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 23 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMarre Carroll * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Mike Scott * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lou Williams * | 22 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter