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2014-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +22 (117-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Anderson * 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 5 4 -
Elliot Williams * 28 6-11 1-2 0-1 2 4 1 0 3 13 6 -
Thaddeus Young * 27 8-17 2-4 0-0 4 0 3 0 2 18 6 -
Michael Carter-Williams * 26 4-13 0-0 0-0 6 5 1 0 1 8 6 -
Hollis Thompson * 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 3 4 -
Henry Sims * 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 1 9 9 -
Tony Wroten * 20 6-14 0-3 6-8 2 3 1 0 1 18 9 -
Jarvis Varnado * 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
Byron Mullens * 17 2-6 1-4 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Brandon Davies * 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 2 5 -
Adonis Thomas 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Casper Ware 5 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 4 4 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 30 9-12 1-1 2-3 10 2 0 2 1 21 22 -
Zach Randolph * 29 4-12 0-0 2-2 11 4 1 2 2 10 14 -
James Johnson * 25 4-8 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 1 2 10 9 -
Nick Calathes * 24 3-7 0-1 6-9 5 4 2 0 3 12 13 -
Mike Conley * 23 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 8 1 0 3 2 9 -
Courtney Lee * 22 3-6 0-2 3-3 2 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
Mike Miller * 19 8-11 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 19 9 -
Tony Allen * 18 5-7 0-1 5-7 2 2 2 0 0 15 14 -
Ed Davis * 17 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
Kosta Koufos * 12 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 2 1 6 5 -
Jon Leuer 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Beno Udrih 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Jamaal Franklin 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter