Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (98-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 39 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| George Hill * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| David West * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donald Sloan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 12-13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 23 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Beasley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Hamilton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter