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2014-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% - ✗
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 ✗ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Warriors -1 (99-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Timofey Mozgov * 42 10-15 0-2 3-4 29 3 1 3 2 23 42 -
Aaron Brooks * 39 3-14 0-3 2-2 2 7 1 0 2 8 2 -
Randy Foye * 38 7-23 4-13 2-2 7 7 1 1 2 20 11 -
Kenneth Faried * 32 8-18 0-0 2-7 17 1 1 0 6 18 13 -
Evan Fournier * 28 3-11 2-6 1-2 2 4 2 0 3 9 3 -
Quincy Miller * 24 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Darrell Arthur * 20 4-15 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 10 -3 -
Jan Vesely * 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 6 9 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 33 8-19 2-7 6-6 7 6 4 0 2 24 20 -
Klay Thompson * 30 8-19 3-6 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 21 3 -
Harrison Barnes * 29 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 9 11 -
Andrew Bogut * 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 1 4 10 -
Andre Iguodala * 26 2-6 0-3 2-2 4 3 2 0 0 6 9 -
Draymond Green * 24 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 4 1 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 21 5-8 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 3 12 8 -
Steve Blake * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Marreese Speights * 15 4-9 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 9 2 -
Jordan Crawford * 15 5-10 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 10 4 -

* = starter