Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (100-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 35 | 9-25 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Danny Green * | 22 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Austin Daye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 37 | 10-22 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Shane Larkin | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bernard James | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter