Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (123-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| James Harden * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 23 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 22 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 17 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 11 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Robert Covington | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Garcia | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Miller * | 40 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 38 | 10-17 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 34 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 26 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov * | 25 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter