Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.4% | 19.6% | -7.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -15 (130-145). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Jones * | 32 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 26 | - |
| James Harden * | 31 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 10-11 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 33 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan * | 26 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jodie Meeks * | 38 | 12-21 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 38 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Nick Young * | 22 | 11-19 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Sacre * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter