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2014-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% - ✗
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 ✗ (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - ✗

Actual: Utah Jazz -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 38 7-17 1-4 1-2 4 5 0 0 2 16 6 -
Shawn Marion * 33 4-8 2-4 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 10 10 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 32 9-11 2-3 1-1 6 3 0 0 0 21 19 -
Jose Calderon * 30 4-6 0-2 2-4 3 4 0 1 2 10 10 -
Samuel Dalembert * 27 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 0 10 14 -
Vince Carter * 22 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 13 6 -
Devin Harris * 17 3-5 1-3 2-4 1 6 2 0 2 9 11 -
DeJuan Blair * 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
Jae Crowder * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Wayne Ellington * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Brandan Wright 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Shane Larkin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 41 5-14 1-6 0-2 4 5 2 0 1 11 7 -
Jeremy Evans * 32 3-9 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 1 2 6 8 -
Trey Burke * 31 2-8 0-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 4 3 -
Alec Burks * 29 5-10 0-2 0-1 1 2 2 0 1 10 4 -
Enes Freedom * 27 6-12 0-0 3-4 19 1 0 2 1 15 24 -
Derrick Favors * 27 8-13 0-0 3-3 7 0 1 0 1 19 13 -
Richard Jefferson * 26 6-17 2-8 1-3 1 1 0 0 1 15 -1 -
Diante Garrett * 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
Marvin Williams * 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter