Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -1 (87-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 33 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 28 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 11-14 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 28 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter