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2014-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 55.6% 44.4% -1.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (91-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 39 9-19 2-4 3-3 4 4 1 1 4 23 10 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 34 5-17 2-6 3-4 1 3 0 1 0 15 3 -
Shawn Marion * 33 3-8 1-2 0-2 9 1 2 1 1 7 11 -
Jose Calderon * 31 5-10 4-7 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 14 12 -
Vince Carter * 24 6-13 4-9 1-1 2 3 0 1 2 17 8 -
Samuel Dalembert * 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 2 6 12 -
DeJuan Blair * 17 3-6 0-0 0-2 9 2 0 0 1 6 10 -
Devin Harris * 16 1-6 0-3 1-2 2 7 1 0 0 3 7 -
Jae Crowder * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Brandan Wright * 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Wayne Ellington 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray McCallum * 47 4-12 0-4 0-0 4 9 3 1 3 8 10 -
Rudy Gay * 44 12-18 1-2 7-9 6 8 0 0 2 32 26 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 37 12-23 0-0 4-4 10 1 3 2 4 28 17 -
Ben McLemore * 27 2-9 1-5 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 5 -1 -
Jason Thompson * 27 2-3 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 0 1 5 9 -
Travis Outlaw * 23 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Reggie Evans * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Derrick Williams * 13 1-3 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Jared Cunningham 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter