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2013-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% -
Margin 59.7% 40.3% -2.2 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (99-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 45 8-25 4-13 10-12 8 3 1 0 6 30 11 -
Chandler Parsons * 44 10-18 2-7 1-2 4 3 1 0 3 23 10 -
Omer Asik * 43 4-7 0-0 0-1 12 0 1 1 1 8 14 -
Greg Smith * 41 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 4 1 8 16 -
Jeremy Lin * 34 4-14 2-7 2-4 2 8 0 0 2 12 6 -
Patrick Beverley * 18 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 6 9 -
Carlos Delfino * 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
Terrence Jones * 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 8 -
Francisco Garcia * 8 1-3 0-2 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steve Blake * 47 6-20 4-12 8-8 7 7 0 0 1 24 17 -
Dwight Howard * 46 6-15 0-1 4-10 18 2 3 4 4 16 24 -
Pau Gasol * 43 7-17 0-0 3-4 20 11 0 2 3 17 30 -
Jodie Meeks * 36 2-10 1-7 4-5 2 1 2 0 0 9 4 -
Antawn Jamison * 32 6-12 2-5 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 16 8 -
Metta World Peace * 23 4-11 2-5 2-3 3 3 1 0 0 12 8 -
Darius Morris * 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
Earl Clark * 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Andrew Goudelock * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter