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2013-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +20 (118-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kendall Marshall * 40 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 14 1 1 0 2 16 -
Luis Scola * 28 6-18 0-0 5-6 11 4 1 0 1 17 14 -
P.J. Tucker * 25 4-9 2-4 4-4 7 0 3 1 2 14 14 -
Michael Beasley * 23 5-17 2-4 1-2 3 1 0 1 2 13 -1 -
Wesley Johnson * 20 5-11 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 12 4 -
Jared Dudley * 19 2-7 0-3 1-3 4 3 1 0 2 5 4 -
Hamed Haddadi * 19 7-11 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 14 12 -
Shannon Brown * 17 6-8 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 13 7 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 15 2-4 0-1 0-2 4 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
Markieff Morris * 13 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Diante Garrett 14 0-7 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 -5 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 31 8-14 0-2 4-6 5 5 2 2 3 20 17 -
Evan Fournier * 30 4-11 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 10 4 -
Wilson Chandler * 25 8-14 2-5 3-3 6 4 2 0 2 21 17 -
Corey Brewer * 23 2-4 0-2 0-2 3 1 1 0 3 4 2 -
Ty Lawson * 23 6-9 2-4 0-0 1 7 0 0 0 14 13 -
Anthony Randolph * 22 4-5 0-0 3-3 14 2 1 3 3 11 23 -
Andre Miller * 20 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 6 0 0 0 3 7 -
Timofey Mozgov * 20 4-11 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 1 2 10 8 -
Kosta Koufos * 17 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 0 11 9 -
JaVale McGee * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
Jordan Hamilton 11 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
Quincy Miller 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter