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2013-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +24 (114-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Crawford * 36 6-14 2-6 2-2 6 5 1 0 2 16 12 -
Courtney Lee * 30 3-10 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 8 5 -
Terrence Williams * 28 6-14 0-2 0-2 4 5 1 1 1 12 8 -
DJ White * 28 2-7 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
Avery Bradley * 24 4-10 1-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 3 11 5 -
Brandon Bass * 17 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
Jeff Green * 17 4-7 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 9 7 -
Fab Melo * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Paul Pierce * 14 5-7 1-2 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
Chris Wilcox * 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Shavlik Randolph * 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 29 8-13 3-3 5-5 3 2 0 0 0 24 16 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 28 6-10 0-0 6-8 7 0 0 3 4 18 14 -
Landry Fields * 27 4-8 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 0 1 8 13 -
Rudy Gay * 25 6-14 4-6 3-3 9 2 1 0 0 19 17 -
John Lucas III * 25 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 7 5 -
Quincy Acy * 25 2-4 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Kyle Lowry * 22 3-9 1-3 2-2 2 8 3 0 2 9 11 -
Amir Johnson * 22 2-4 1-1 1-2 2 2 1 2 0 6 9 -
Alan Anderson * 18 5-10 2-5 4-4 4 2 0 0 0 16 12 -
Aaron Gray * 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 3 4 -

* = starter