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2013-04-16

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.8 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -17 (96-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amir Johnson * 36 4-5 1-2 2-2 8 2 0 6 1 11 21 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 32 4-5 0-0 5-6 8 0 0 3 4 13 15 -
DeMar DeRozan * 28 11-17 3-5 5-6 1 0 0 0 1 30 13 -
Rudy Gay * 27 9-14 3-7 1-1 4 5 1 0 4 22 14 -
Kyle Lowry * 27 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 11 3 0 4 8 17 -
Quincy Acy * 22 2-5 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 1 1 5 8 -
John Lucas III * 20 4-8 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 11 9 -
Alan Anderson * 18 1-9 0-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Terrence Ross * 17 3-7 0-1 2-2 2 0 3 0 0 8 6 -
Landry Fields 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Jenkins * 27 2-13 0-6 4-5 2 1 1 1 2 8 -2 -
Anthony Tolliver * 26 2-6 1-4 4-4 5 1 2 0 0 9 11 -
Shelvin Mack * 26 4-6 2-3 1-2 3 5 1 0 2 11 12 -
Mike Scott * 26 5-15 0-0 2-4 12 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
Dahntay Jones * 25 3-6 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
Johan Petro * 21 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
Ivan Johnson * 19 6-13 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 1 12 9 -
Jeff Teague * 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 9 0 0 1 4 7 -
Devin Harris * 17 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 -
Kyle Korver * 17 5-7 3-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 13 8 -
Josh Smith * 12 2-5 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 4 -

* = starter