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2013-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +21 (121-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Thomas * 28 2-9 1-3 5-5 1 10 0 0 1 10 11 -
Patrick Patterson * 26 4-11 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 2 0 8 7 -
John Salmons * 26 5-8 3-6 1-1 0 0 0 1 1 14 6 -
Cole Aldrich * 25 6-7 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 4 1 12 21 -
Toney Douglas * 24 2-7 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 6 3 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 22 3-9 0-0 2-4 8 0 3 0 2 8 8 -
Jason Thompson * 21 3-11 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 7 2 -
Jimmer Fredette * 20 5-14 0-2 0-0 5 5 3 0 1 10 8 -
Travis Outlaw * 18 5-8 1-3 4-4 2 3 0 1 2 15 11 -
Tyreke Evans * 17 4-10 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 1 2 10 3 -
Marcus Thornton * 8 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 31 11-16 4-6 3-7 4 9 2 1 2 29 27 -
Chandler Parsons * 27 5-7 2-3 1-1 5 5 1 1 0 13 18 -
Omer Asik * 26 4-9 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 0 2 10 12 -
Jeremy Lin * 25 4-8 1-2 6-6 4 2 0 0 3 15 10 -
Carlos Delfino * 25 5-11 4-9 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 14 10 -
Greg Smith * 22 5-8 0-0 1-2 5 2 2 1 1 11 12 -
Terrence Jones * 20 3-8 0-2 3-4 3 1 3 5 1 9 12 -
Patrick Beverley * 17 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 2 1 3 7 4 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 6 5 -
Francisco Garcia * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Thomas Robinson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 2 5 -
James Anderson 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
Aaron Brooks 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter