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2013-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (89-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo * 34 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 8 8 -
Shawn Marion * 31 10-16 0-1 1-1 7 6 2 1 0 21 21 -
Darren Collison * 29 4-9 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
Vince Carter * 27 5-10 4-7 2-2 7 5 0 2 2 16 18 -
Dirk Nowitzki * 26 7-14 1-2 4-4 6 1 0 2 0 19 14 -
Chris Kaman * 21 5-7 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 0 2 11 12 -
Mike James * 18 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 4 2 -
Jae Crowder * 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 3 -
Brandan Wright 23 8-13 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 16 9 -
Josh Akognon 2 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Bernard James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Anthony Morrow 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Anderson * 40 8-20 4-7 0-0 12 1 0 1 1 20 13 -
Greivis Vasquez * 36 5-16 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 11 1 -
Eric Gordon * 33 7-17 1-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 15 1 -
Robin Lopez * 32 4-10 0-0 2-2 13 2 0 1 1 10 15 -
Brian Roberts * 26 5-8 3-4 0-0 4 6 1 0 0 13 16 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 25 4-6 0-1 2-4 8 2 1 0 3 10 12 -
Xavier Henry * 19 0-6 0-0 8-10 1 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Lou Amundson * 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Roger Mason Jr. * 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darius Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter