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2013-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% +1.8 โœ“ (18.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 โœ“ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +20 (113-93). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bismack Biyombo * 36 4-6 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 2 2 8 10 -
Kemba Walker * 36 9-21 4-8 6-6 5 6 0 0 5 28 13 -
Gerald Henderson * 35 6-18 1-4 2-2 1 5 3 0 3 15 3 -
Josh McRoberts * 35 7-11 0-2 3-4 7 2 1 0 3 17 13 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 31 3-7 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 2 1 7 11 -
Jannero Pargo * 19 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
Ben Gordon * 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 3 -3 -
Jeff Adrien * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
Jeffery Taylor 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Tyrus Thomas 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 1 0 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Knight * 33 6-9 3-3 4-6 7 2 1 0 5 19 15 -
Greg Monroe * 32 4-9 0-0 4-4 6 4 4 0 2 12 15 -
Jonas Jerebko * 27 9-18 2-4 1-1 8 1 1 1 1 21 13 -
Andre Drummond * 27 7-13 0-0 1-4 9 0 2 1 5 15 9 -
Will Bynum * 26 5-10 1-2 4-4 3 10 1 0 4 15 15 -
Rodney Stuckey * 25 1-7 1-1 1-1 2 9 0 0 2 4 6 -
Khris Middleton * 25 4-8 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 9 8 -
Kyle Singler * 22 4-6 2-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 10 8 -
Kim English * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Charlie Villanueva * 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
Viacheslav Kravtsov 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter