Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (91-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 24 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 27 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Mike James * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Josh Akognon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bernard James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter