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2013-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Goran Dragic * 38 6-10 1-2 2-4 4 10 4 1 3 15 21 -
Luis Scola * 37 12-20 0-0 4-5 8 2 1 1 3 28 17 -
Markieff Morris * 28 4-10 3-3 0-0 9 3 1 2 4 11 12 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 26 2-12 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 1 0 6 2 -
P.J. Tucker * 25 2-6 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
Jared Dudley * 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 8 5 -
Kendall Marshall * 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 2 0 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 22 5-8 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 11 7 -
Wesley Johnson * 12 3-8 0-1 3-3 3 0 0 0 3 9 1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 44 9-21 2-8 13-14 6 6 3 1 9 33 19 -
Omer Asik * 38 3-9 0-0 2-2 22 0 2 2 0 8 25 -
Jeremy Lin * 37 5-14 0-4 3-3 1 6 2 0 2 13 6 -
Francisco Garcia * 36 6-13 3-10 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 15 5 -
Greg Smith * 28 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 1 1 12 11 -
Terrence Jones * 23 5-8 0-1 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 11 11 -
Patrick Beverley * 20 4-10 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 9 3 -
James Anderson * 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter