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2013-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks +21 (120-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 33 11-19 0-0 11-14 3 3 1 0 4 33 17 -
Garrett Temple * 30 2-5 1-2 2-4 2 3 0 0 0 7 7 -
Martell Webster * 27 4-8 0-2 2-2 7 1 2 0 2 10 10 -
AJ Price * 25 4-11 3-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 11 6 -
Nene Hilario * 24 3-6 0-0 3-4 3 5 1 0 2 9 10 -
Chris Singleton * 22 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Emeka Okafor * 22 1-5 0-0 2-4 8 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
Cartier Martin * 20 6-12 4-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 16 7 -
Kevin Seraphin * 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 3 6 4 -
Trevor Booker * 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jan Vesely 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JR Smith * 32 7-14 1-3 2-3 2 3 0 0 4 17 4 -
Carmelo Anthony * 30 13-21 3-4 7-9 8 6 0 0 0 36 29 -
Raymond Felton * 30 4-9 2-6 0-0 3 8 2 0 1 10 13 -
Chris Copeland * 29 6-11 4-6 1-2 9 1 0 0 3 17 13 -
Iman Shumpert * 24 7-10 4-6 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 18 16 -
Pablo Prigioni * 22 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 5 10 -
Jason Kidd * 22 1-1 1-1 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 3 11 -
Steve Novak * 22 4-8 4-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 5 -
Kenyon Martin * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 3 2 3 -
James White 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter