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2013-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +17 (100-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrence Ross * 27 4-8 0-0 3-4 1 0 2 0 0 11 6 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 26 3-9 0-0 6-6 3 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
Amir Johnson * 25 1-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 3 2 3 -
Sebastian Telfair * 24 0-5 0-2 3-4 2 7 3 0 3 3 7 -
DeMar DeRozan * 23 6-14 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 12 -2 -
Kyle Lowry * 23 3-9 1-2 0-1 4 4 0 0 3 7 3 -
Landry Fields * 23 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 2 5 6 -
Rudy Gay * 22 1-10 0-2 2-2 8 2 0 1 1 4 4 -
Quincy Acy * 21 4-7 1-1 4-4 2 2 2 0 1 13 11 -
Alan Anderson * 21 6-10 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 14 6 -
Aaron Gray 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 39 5-14 2-5 10-10 4 9 6 0 5 22 22 -
Brandon Jennings * 28 7-14 2-4 0-1 2 7 3 0 0 16 14 -
Larry Sanders * 27 5-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 6 1 12 21 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 26 3-10 0-4 3-4 8 1 0 1 1 9 8 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 24 4-7 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 0 0 10 12 -
JJ Redick * 24 3-5 0-2 2-2 0 3 0 1 1 8 6 -
Marquis Daniels * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
Mike Dunleavy * 19 3-6 2-4 2-2 0 2 0 1 2 10 5 -
Gustavo Ayon * 17 2-5 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 4 4 3 -
Ish Smith 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
John Henson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Drew Gooden 2 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -

* = starter