Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (106-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 39 | 7-17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nick Young * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Justin Holiday * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 29 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 27 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 24 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 23 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter