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2013-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -18 (98-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 35 11-21 4-9 7-8 7 6 1 1 4 33 23 -
Jeremy Lin * 34 8-13 2-4 4-5 4 8 2 0 4 22 19 -
Omer Asik * 28 3-7 0-1 3-4 11 1 0 1 0 9 15 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 25 3-10 1-4 3-4 7 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
Francisco Garcia * 25 4-9 3-7 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 11 6 -
Greg Smith * 23 5-6 0-0 9-12 5 1 0 1 0 19 20 -
Patrick Beverley * 22 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 6 1 1 0 7 14 -
James Anderson * 19 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Terrence Jones * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Thomas Robinson 3 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Aaron Brooks 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tim Ohlbrecht 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 40 12-19 0-0 8-10 13 3 1 0 0 32 30 -
Damian Lillard * 40 4-12 1-2 2-3 3 7 2 0 3 11 8 -
Wesley Matthews * 37 6-19 1-11 5-6 3 4 2 0 2 18 6 -
Victor Claver * 26 4-8 0-2 1-1 2 1 1 1 2 9 4 -
Meyers Leonard * 25 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
JJ Hickson * 22 5-9 0-0 1-1 8 0 1 0 0 11 11 -
Will Barton * 20 4-9 0-2 1-1 6 4 0 1 1 9 10 -
Eric Maynor * 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -4 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Joel Freeland 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nolan Smith 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter