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2013-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 34 3-9 2-5 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
Emeka Okafor * 33 8-16 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 3 17 8 -
Nene Hilario * 32 5-12 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 3 12 5 -
John Wall * 32 5-17 0-1 10-10 5 5 0 0 2 20 11 -
Martell Webster * 25 1-8 0-4 2-4 3 3 0 0 1 4 1 -
AJ Price * 19 1-6 1-4 2-5 0 1 1 0 0 5 1 -
Cartier Martin * 16 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Garrett Temple * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
Trevor Booker * 15 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Kevin Seraphin * 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
Jan Vesely 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valančiūnas * 40 4-7 0-0 16-18 10 1 1 2 3 24 28 -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 11-21 0-0 3-5 1 1 1 1 3 25 5 -
Kyle Lowry * 36 2-8 1-3 4-6 8 13 0 0 2 9 20 -
Amir Johnson * 34 4-8 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 2 1 9 12 -
Rudy Gay * 26 2-8 0-3 2-4 8 2 2 0 4 6 6 -
Quincy Acy * 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
Landry Fields * 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Sebastian Telfair * 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
Alan Anderson * 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Terrence Ross 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter