Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +20 (101-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 27 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -4 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Mike James * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Elton Brand | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Dentmon | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 47 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 10-20 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 29 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter