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2013-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 59.8% 40.2% -1.0 ✗ (18.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 ✓ (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards +17 (109-92). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valančiūnas * 36 5-9 0-0 8-10 10 1 0 2 1 18 21 -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 6-18 0-0 3-4 6 3 1 0 1 15 6 -
Kyle Lowry * 32 4-10 3-5 4-4 3 7 0 1 4 15 12 -
Rudy Gay * 27 4-10 1-3 2-3 4 3 0 1 1 11 8 -
Landry Fields * 26 4-7 0-0 0-1 5 2 1 1 2 8 8 -
Amir Johnson * 25 2-7 0-0 4-4 12 1 0 0 3 8 11 -
Alan Anderson * 25 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 0 -
Sebastian Telfair * 15 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 10 9 -
Terrence Ross * 11 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Aaron Gray * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 34 7-15 1-3 3-4 6 10 0 1 1 18 19 -
Bradley Beal * 30 8-14 6-9 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 24 14 -
Martell Webster * 29 2-9 0-2 3-5 8 3 0 0 0 7 9 -
Trevor Ariza * 29 3-5 2-2 2-2 8 3 2 1 2 10 17 -
Emeka Okafor * 26 7-14 0-0 5-7 10 1 1 0 4 19 13 -
Jan Vesely * 19 4-7 0-0 1-4 8 0 1 1 0 9 12 -
Kevin Seraphin * 18 6-10 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 13 4 -
Trevor Booker * 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
AJ Price * 13 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
Garrett Temple * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Chris Singleton * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Jason Collins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter