๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Margin 4.9% 95.1% +16.3 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Henderson * 45 9-16 2-5 15-17 7 3 2 0 3 35 28 -
Kemba Walker * 41 6-19 1-5 3-4 3 8 2 0 5 16 5 -
Bismack Biyombo * 34 1-2 0-0 0-4 9 2 1 1 1 2 12 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 31 6-11 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 1 0 14 14 -
Josh McRoberts * 27 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 1 2 6 8 -
Ben Gordon * 24 4-9 4-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 12 3 -
Jeffery Taylor * 18 3-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
Jannero Pargo * 15 3-8 3-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 9 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JR Smith * 37 12-18 2-2 11-12 2 1 1 1 4 37 20 -
Kenyon Martin * 35 2-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 3 0 6 10 -
Raymond Felton * 35 7-11 2-4 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 18 14 -
Carmelo Anthony * 35 11-28 1-3 9-10 11 2 1 0 5 32 13 -
Iman Shumpert * 26 2-4 2-4 2-2 2 5 2 0 1 8 12 -
Jason Kidd * 23 1-4 1-4 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 3 9 -
Steve Novak * 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Chris Copeland * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Pablo Prigioni * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Marcus Camby * 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
James White 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter