Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (118-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 7-23 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 28 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Mike Scott * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 38 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 37 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter