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2013-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - ✗
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 ✗ (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Suns -14 (103-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 38 3-9 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Tyreke Evans * 33 5-9 0-3 2-2 3 6 1 0 0 12 13 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 30 12-16 1-2 9-9 14 2 1 1 5 34 31 -
Patrick Patterson * 29 5-10 0-2 0-0 10 0 0 2 0 10 12 -
Isaiah Thomas * 29 6-10 3-4 8-8 3 8 0 0 5 23 19 -
Jason Thompson * 18 3-7 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 8 2 -
Jimmer Fredette * 12 3-5 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Marcus Thornton * 11 1-4 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 3 4 -
Chuck Hayes * 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Travis Outlaw * 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
Toney Douglas 10 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 7 6 -
Cole Aldrich 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kendall Marshall * 33 4-12 1-4 0-2 1 10 2 0 2 9 8 -
P.J. Tucker * 33 8-13 0-1 2-4 4 3 3 0 3 18 12 -
Wesley Johnson * 33 5-13 3-6 1-1 1 1 1 1 1 14 4 -
Luis Scola * 31 10-13 1-1 4-6 7 0 1 0 0 25 20 -
Michael Beasley * 26 7-14 0-2 0-2 8 1 1 1 1 14 10 -
Markieff Morris * 24 2-10 0-1 3-4 4 5 1 1 0 7 8 -
Jared Dudley * 19 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
Diante Garrett * 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 6 1 0 0 0 7 -
Hamed Haddadi * 13 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 3 0 5 9 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 8 2-4 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 -

* = starter