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2013-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +10 (113-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 38 6-8 0-0 3-10 15 2 0 3 2 15 25 -
Jodie Meeks * 38 4-12 1-6 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 11 3 -
Kobe Bryant * 36 6-17 0-3 18-20 2 3 0 0 6 30 12 -
Pau Gasol * 31 6-12 0-1 0-0 9 3 1 1 4 12 10 -
Steve Blake * 30 2-8 2-6 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 6 3 -
Antawn Jamison * 23 5-10 1-2 2-2 7 0 0 1 1 13 10 -
Steve Nash * 23 5-7 1-2 5-5 3 6 2 1 4 16 17 -
Earl Clark * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 35 8-16 0-2 2-2 7 9 2 0 3 18 17 -
Brandon Jennings * 32 7-14 3-6 3-3 2 7 0 0 2 20 13 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 30 8-17 2-5 2-2 4 2 4 1 1 20 13 -
Marquis Daniels * 30 7-12 1-1 1-1 1 1 3 0 0 16 9 -
Larry Sanders * 29 8-11 0-0 5-10 13 1 1 2 0 21 27 -
JJ Redick * 22 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 7 2 -
Mike Dunleavy * 16 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 2 0 -
Ekpe Udoh * 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Samuel Dalembert * 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Ish Smith * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter