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2013-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -9 (91-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 39 4-17 2-8 6-6 6 3 3 0 2 16 9 -
George Hill * 38 1-11 0-5 0-0 4 5 2 0 0 2 2 -
Roy Hibbert * 36 11-17 0-0 6-8 13 3 0 3 4 28 26 -
Lance Stephenson * 34 9-14 1-2 2-3 5 3 1 0 1 21 15 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 32 4-7 0-0 8-9 8 1 2 0 1 16 19 -
Jeff Ayres * 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Orlando Johnson * 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
Ian Mahinmi * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 0 2 -
D.J. Augustin * 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Sam Young * 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Gerald Green 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 2 2 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 42 6-24 3-10 7-9 4 8 1 0 3 22 8 -
Chandler Parsons * 40 5-14 0-3 1-1 2 3 1 1 2 11 2 -
Greg Smith * 32 6-12 0-0 6-8 19 0 0 0 2 18 23 -
Patrick Beverley * 28 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 9 7 -
Omer Asik * 25 3-5 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 1 1 8 10 -
Thomas Robinson * 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
Jeremy Lin * 19 3-6 1-2 1-1 1 4 2 0 4 8 5 -
Carlos Delfino * 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
Donatas Motiejunas * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter