Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +4 (101-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 27 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 35 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 44 | 10-22 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 43 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 38 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 21 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter