Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -19 (88-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 34 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 30 | 7-16 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 10 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Johan Petro | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mike Scott | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter