Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (100-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 19 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mike Scott * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 41 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 36 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 24 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 23 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jeff Ayres * | 21 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Sam Young | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter