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2013-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +20 (103-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 39 3-14 0-0 4-4 12 0 3 2 3 10 10 -
Damian Lillard * 38 7-16 4-9 1-2 4 6 0 0 2 19 11 -
Wesley Matthews * 36 3-11 2-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 8 -1 -
Nicolas Batum * 36 4-11 2-6 3-4 8 8 0 2 1 13 19 -
JJ Hickson * 27 6-11 0-0 0-1 7 2 2 1 3 12 10 -
Eric Maynor * 25 4-10 2-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 3 10 1 -
Meyers Leonard * 23 4-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
Will Barton * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Luke Babbitt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nolan Smith 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Joel Freeland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 37 10-17 2-3 2-2 10 2 2 0 3 24 18 -
Russell Westbrook * 33 9-18 0-2 3-5 4 9 1 0 2 21 15 -
Kevin Martin * 26 4-10 2-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 11 5 -
Serge Ibaka * 26 7-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 5 2 16 14 -
Nick Collison * 26 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 10 10 -
Kendrick Perkins * 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 4 4 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 19 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 4 8 -
Reggie Jackson * 15 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 6 2 0 0 6 12 -
Derek Fisher * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 9 2-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
DeAndre Liggins 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Perry Jones III 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ronnie Brewer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter