Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +1 (96-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Danny Green * | 31 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Nando De Colo | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Parsons * | 45 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| James Harden * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 15-17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 31 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 16 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter