Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -5 (99-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 41 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 29 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 42 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 28 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter