Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (101-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 32 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cole Aldrich * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Julyan Stone * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
* = starter